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​Watershed Condition Statement: ​Flood Outlook


Flood Potential: Moderate
Ice Jam Potential: Low

Issued to: local municipalities and school boards, local conservation authorities, emergency response agencies, health unit, media, NVCA board and staff

Date: April 12, 2018 (10:45 AM)

​Weather Conditions

The Nottawasaga Valley Conservation Authority advises that total precipitation amounts of up to 85 mm are forecast for the watershed over 5 days from Thursday through Monday. Precipitation is expected to fall as a mix of rain and freezing rain.


The forecasted significant rainfall is expected to increase water levels in watercourses, and localized flooding may occur in low-lying areas. Snow has melted in most areas, but small amounts of remaining snowpack in the north part of the watershed will contribute some additional runoff. Stream banks can be slippery and unstable, which combined with cold water temperatures can create hazardous conditions around our rivers and streams. No major flooding is anticipated at this time.


Hazardous conditions exist around all waterbodies, as there is a high risk of life-threatening injury if a person falls into the extremely cold water. The public and especially children are advised to stay away from all waterbodies. 

The Nottawasaga Valley Conservation Authority continues to monitor river and stream conditions and will issue additional messages as conditions warrant. This Flood Outlook Statement will be in effect until 4:00 p.m., Tuesday, April 17, 2018.

For additional information, please call 705-424-1479 and select option “1” for the flood information line or check our website at:

Peter Alm
Flood Duty Officer

A Watershed Condition Statement is a general notice of weather conditions that could pose a risk to personal safety or which have the potential to lead to flooding. A Flood Outlook message is an early notice of the potential for flooding based on weather forecasts calling for heavy rain, snow melt, high wind or conditions that could lead to high runoff, cause ice jams, lakeshore flooding or erosion.