Watershed Condition Statement: Flood Outlook - NVCA

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​Watershed Condition Statement:  

Flood Outlook ​​

Flood Outlook Statement Icon

Flood Potential: Low

Ice Jam Potential: Moderate

Issued to:    local municipalities and school boards, local conservation authorities, emergency response agencies, health unit, media, NVCA board and staff

Date:          March 10, 2021 (3:00PM) 

The Nottawasaga Valley Conservation Authority advises that warm temperatures and rain over the next several days will cause our snowpack to melt and increase flows in area watercourses. 

Weathe​r Conditions

The Nottawasaga Valley Conservation Authority advises that temperatures are forecast to remain well above freezing for much of the week. Rainfall amounts of approximately 5-10mm are forecast for Wednesday through Friday.  This past week has also brought abundant sunshine and mild temperatures, which has caused some of the snowpack to melt.  


The forecast warmer temperatures and rainfall will continue the melting of the snowpack.  All watercourses will be flowing faster which could cause ice breakup.  Stream banks can be slippery and unstable, which combined with extremely cold water temperatures can create hazardous conditions around our rivers and streams.  The potential for flooding in low lying and flood-vulnerable areas may exist. No major flooding is anticipated at this time.


Hazardous conditions exist around all waterbodies, as there is a high risk of life-threatening injury if a person falls into the extremely cold water. The public and especially children are advised to stay away from all waterbodies. 

The Nottawasaga Valley Conservation Authority continues to monitor river and stream conditions and will issue additional messages as conditions warrant. This Flood Outlook Statement will be in effect until 4:30 p.m., Tuesday March 16, 2021.

For additional information, please call 705-424-1479 and select option “2" for the flood information line or check our website at:  www.nvca.on.ca

Sheri Steiginga

Flood Duty Officer

A Watershed Condition Statement is a general notice of weather conditions that could pose a risk to personal safety or which have the potential to lead to flooding. A Flood Outlook message is an early notice of the potential for flooding based on weather forecasts calling for heavy rain, snow melt, high wind or conditions that could lead to high runoff, cause ice jams, lakeshore flooding or erosion.​