Watershed Condition Statement:
Flood Outlook

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Flood Potential: Moderate

Ice Jam Potential: Moderate

Issued to:  local municipalities and school boards, local conservation authorities, emergency response agencies, health unit, media

Date:        February 17, 2022 (2:00 PM)

The Nottawasaga Valley Conservation Authority advises that the Water Safety issued February 16, 2022 has been upgraded to a Flood Outlook.  The public and especially children are advised to stay away from all area water bodies as unstable ice cover, slippery banks and fast flowing watercourses will result in dangerous conditions.

The NVCA watershed has received 10-30mm of mixed precipitation over the last 24 hours with an additional 10-15cm of snow in the forecast for Thursday, February 17 and Friday, February 18, 2022.  Water levels in all rivers and streams are rising as a result of recent warm temperatures, rainfall and snowmelt.  Where river ice is present, there is the potential for ice jams. 
Although no major flooding is anticipated local conditions will vary.  At this time of year there is always the potential for localized flooding and ice jams.

The Nottawasaga Valley Conservation Authority continues to monitor river and stream conditions and will issue additional messages as conditions warrant. This statement will be in effect until 4PM Friday February 18, 2022.

For additional information, please check our website at:  www.nvca.on.ca

Sheri Steiginga
Flood Duty Officer

A Watershed Condition Statement is a general notice of weather conditions that could pose a risk to personal safety or which have the potential to lead to flooding. A Flood Outlook message is an early notice of the potential for flooding based on weather forecasts calling for heavy rain, snow melt, high wind or conditions that could lead to high runoff, cause ice jams, lakeshore flooding or erosion.